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Bitcoin Mining Pools and Their Impact on Bitcoin Development

Published on: 26 Sep 2025

Author: Monika

Bitcoin

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin mining pools now control the vast majority of network hashrate, with Foundry USA (35.92%) and AntPool (17.94%) collectively exceeding 51% as of 2025
  • The Bitcoin Miner Market reached $11.19 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $94.14 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 26.7%
  • Six mining pools mine more than 95% of all Bitcoin blocks, raising centralization concerns
  • Bitcoin’s hashrate reached 1 zetahash for the first time in 2025, consuming approximately 0.80% of global electricity
  • Decentralized alternatives like Stratum V2 and OCEAN’s DATUM protocol are emerging to address centralization risks
  • The United States leads global mining with 37.5% of hashrate, followed by Kazakhstan (14%) and China (14%)
  • A theoretical 51% attack would cost approximately $1.1 trillion, creating strong economic barriers against malicious actors

Introduction to Bitcoin Mining Pools

In our eight years of analyzing blockchain technology and cryptocurrency ecosystems, we have witnessed the profound transformation of Bitcoin mining from individual hobbyists running CPUs in their bedrooms to industrial-scale operations spanning continents. Bitcoin mining pools represent one of the most significant evolutionary developments in the cryptocurrency’s deployment strategy, fundamentally reshaping how new blocks are added to the blockchain and how rewards are distributed among participants.

A mining pool is a collaborative effort where multiple miners combine their computational resources over a network, sharing rewards proportionally based on each participant’s contribution to the pool’s total computing power. This model emerged as a practical response to the increasing difficulty of solo mining, which made individual block discovery statistically improbable for miners without massive hardware investments.

According to data from Blockchain.com, mining pools help make revenue for miners more predictable by aggregating hashrate and distributing rewards consistently, rather than relying on the probabilistic nature of solo mining where a small miner might never find a block. This fundamental shift has created both opportunities and challenges for Bitcoin’s decentralized architecture.

How Mining Pools Influence Network Hash Rate

The relationship between mining pools and network hashrate represents one of the most critical dynamics in Bitcoin’s security model. In 2025, Bitcoin’s hashrate reached an unprecedented milestone of 1 zetahash, representing the combined computational power of all miners worldwide. This achievement, reported by The Block in their 2026 Bitcoin Mining Outlook, demonstrates the network’s growing security while simultaneously highlighting the concentration of that power.

Mining pools influence hashrate distribution through several mechanisms. Large pools attract miners by offering stable payouts, lower variance in returns, and professional infrastructure. The data reveals that Foundry USA Pool leads the market with approximately 35.92% of the network’s hashrate, attributed to its advanced FPPS (Full Pay Per Share) payout model and robust security infrastructure.

Current Mining Pool Hashrate Distribution (2025)

Mining Pool Market Share (%) Payout Model Headquarters
Foundry USA 35.92% FPPS United States
AntPool 17.94% PPLNS/FPPS China
ViaBTC 13.38% PPS+/PPLNS China
F2Pool 10% PPS+ China
MARA Pool 5% FPPS United States
SpiderPool 3% FPPS Asia

Source: Hashrate Index, Miners1688, and b10c.me analysis (2025)

Centralization Risks in Mining Pools

Drawing from our extensive experience monitoring blockchain security since 2017, the centralization of mining pools represents perhaps the most pressing existential threat to Bitcoin’s founding philosophy. Recent analysis from AInvest indicates that Foundry and AntPool now collectively control over 51% of Bitcoin’s hashrate, a concentration level not witnessed since 2014 when GHash.io temporarily exceeded the critical threshold.

The implications of this centralization are profound. If these two major pools were to collude, they could theoretically execute a 51% attack, enabling transaction manipulation, double-spending, and the undermining of Bitcoin’s core value proposition as a censorship-resistant, decentralized currency. According to BeInCrypto’s August 2025 report, this represents the first time mining concentration has reached such dangerous levels in over a decade.

Research published in ScienceDirect demonstrates that when a single pool controls over 50% of the total hashrate, it can initiate attacks that manipulate the consensus process. The study notes that historical trends seemed to show decentralization in recent years as miners sought risk-pooling benefits by diversifying their hashrate. However, current data suggests this trend has reversed.

Industry Insight: Our analysis reveals that proxy pooling—where smaller pools act as intermediaries for larger ones such as AntPool—has obscured the true extent of centralization. Over 95% of blocks are now mined by just six pools, with the combined hashrate of the top five exceeding 75%.

Impact on Bitcoin Transaction Confirmation Speed

Mining pools significantly influence transaction confirmation speeds through their transaction selection policies and block template construction. In 2025, miners generated approximately $17.2 billion in revenue, according to The Block’s analysis, yet transaction fees as a share of total revenue collapsed from approximately 7% in 2024 to roughly 1% in 2025.

This dramatic shift resulted from the unwinding of the 2024 on-chain activity boom driven by Ordinals, BRC-20 tokens, and Runes. The decline in fee revenue has altered how pools prioritize transactions, with some pools increasingly mining empty blocks to prioritize speed over transaction efficiency. As noted by CoinCentral, empty blocks generate minimal fees for miners but allow faster block propagation.

Our eight years of monitoring network dynamics reveals that large mining pools often optimize for block propagation speed rather than fee maximization during periods of intense competition. This behavior, while economically rational for individual pools, can degrade overall network efficiency and transaction throughput for users awaiting confirmation.

Mining Pools and Block Production Control

Block production control represents the core power exercised by mining pools. Under the traditional Stratum V1 protocol, pools create block templates that include all requisite data for a valid block and select which transactions from their node’s mempool to include. Individual miners have no control over transaction selection—they function merely as computational workers executing the pool’s template.

Foundry USA recently demonstrated this concentrated power by mining eight consecutive blocks, an unusual event that CoinCentral cited as evidence of growing centralization risks. Such events illustrate how a dominant pool can temporarily control significant portions of Bitcoin’s blockchain production.

Mining Pool Block Production Lifecycle

Stage Process Description Control Entity
1. Template Creation Pool selects transactions and creates block template Mining Pool
2. Work Distribution Template distributed to connected miners via Stratum protocol Mining Pool
3. Hash Computation Miners compute hashes and submit shares Individual Miners
4. Block Discovery Valid block found and submitted to network Mining Pool
5. Reward Collection Block reward collected by pool Mining Pool
6. Payout Distribution Rewards distributed to miners based on contributed shares Mining Pool

Economic Impact on Small Miners

The economic landscape for small-scale miners has undergone significant transformation. According to Global Growth Insights, the Bitcoin Miner Market was valued at $11.19 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $94.14 billion by 2033. However, approximately 57% of demand is driven by rising institutional investments, leaving individual miners increasingly marginalized.

Small miners face several economic pressures. ASIC hardware dominates the market with 60% share, while hardware obsolescence affects approximately 50% of mining units within six months. Energy-cost vulnerabilities impact 45% of operations, according to market analysis. These factors create substantial barriers to entry and sustainability for individual participants.

Comparison: Small Miners vs. Industrial Operations

Factor Small-Scale Miners Industrial Operations
Hardware Access Limited to retail channels, higher costs Bulk purchasing, direct manufacturer relationships
Energy Costs Residential rates ($0.10-$0.20/kWh) Industrial/wholesale rates ($0.02-$0.05/kWh)
Cooling Infrastructure Basic air cooling Immersion cooling (18% adoption)
Revenue Predictability High variance, pool-dependent Stable with PPA agreements
Profit Margin 5-15% (when profitable) 25-40%

Research from ScienceDirect suggests that higher transaction fees could lead to more decentralized mining pools, as risk-averse miners diversify their hashrate when uncertainty increases. However, the current low-fee environment has accelerated consolidation around major pools.

Mining Pools and Network Security

Network security in Bitcoin fundamentally depends on hashrate distribution. A more decentralized mining landscape enhances security by reducing single points of failure and attack vectors. However, current concentration patterns have raised significant concerns among security researchers and investors alike.

According to CoinCentral’s analysis, executing a 51% attack on Bitcoin would cost approximately $1.1 trillion. This massive expense creates a strong economic barrier against such attacks, as the infrastructure and energy requirements make execution logistically challenging. Additionally, any successful attack would likely cause Bitcoin’s price to collapse, directly harming the attackers’ own investments.

CCN’s interview with security expert Max Sanchez revealed that Bitcoin’s incentive structure acts as a formidable defense against threats. Miners and pools have solid financial alignment rooted in game theory. As Sanchez noted, any miner attempting an attack would essentially be destroying their mining farm’s value, given that specialized Bitcoin mining hardware cannot be repurposed for other uses.

Security Statement: In our professional assessment, while the theoretical risk of a 51% attack exists, the economic disincentives and practical challenges make such an attack highly improbable. However, the perception of vulnerability can still erode investor confidence and introduce systemic risk considerations.

Geographic Concentration of Mining Power

The geographic distribution of Bitcoin mining has undergone dramatic shifts following China’s 2021 mining ban, which forced a massive relocation of hashrate to other jurisdictions. According to Hashrate Index and CoinDesk reporting, the current distribution reflects both regulatory pressures and energy economics, as miners increasingly evaluate alternative consensus mechanisms such as proof of burn alongside traditional proof-based security models when assessing long-term network sustainability.

Global Bitcoin Mining Distribution by Country (2025)

Country Hashrate Share Primary Energy Source Regulatory Status
United States 37.5% Mixed (45% renewables) Supportive
Kazakhstan 14% Coal/Natural Gas Restricted
China 14% Hydropower/Coal Officially Banned
Canada 9% Hydroelectric Supportive
Russia 7% Natural Gas/Hydropower Complex
Germany 4% Renewables Regulated

Sources: Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, CoinDesk, UPay Blog analysis (2025)

Notably, China has returned as the third-largest mining hub with approximately 14% of global capacity as of late 2025, according to Reuters reporting cited by CoinDesk. This resurgence occurred despite the official ban, driven by surplus electricity in regions like Xinjiang and excess data center capacity. Mining rig manufacturer Canaan has seen its domestic Chinese revenue share grow from 2.8% in 2022 to over 50% in the second quarter of 2025.

Pool Governance and Decision-Making

Mining pool governance encompasses the policies, procedures, and decision-making structures that determine how pools operate, select transactions, and distribute rewards. Our extensive experience working with mining operations reveals that governance models vary significantly across major pools.

Under traditional models, pool operators maintain complete control over block template construction—deciding which transactions to include or exclude. This centralized control creates potential censorship vectors that could be exploited under regulatory pressure or through malicious coordination.

According to analysis from Medium’s Bitcoin Mining Dispatch, the primary censorship risk materializes when a small number of pool operators could theoretically collude to exclude certain transactions from blocks, severely compromising Bitcoin’s network integrity. This concern has driven development of alternative protocols that shift decision-making power back to individual miners.

Regulatory Impact on Mining Pools

Regulatory frameworks increasingly influence mining pool operations and geographic distribution. In 2025, a severe winter storm in the United States caused a 60% drop in Foundry USA’s hashrate, with approximately 200 EH/s going offline, according to AInvest reporting. This event highlighted infrastructure vulnerabilities and the growing interdependence between mining operations and grid stability.

The regulatory landscape varies dramatically by jurisdiction. U.S.-based platforms contribute 34% of hashrate share, benefiting from regulatory clarity and supportive policies in states like Texas and Wyoming. Conversely, China’s ongoing crackdown has pushed operations underground while simultaneously allowing strategic flexibility through Hong Kong’s stablecoin licensing framework.

Kazakhstan has implemented increased regulatory scrutiny and limitations on energy consumption for miners, adding uncertainty to the country’s mining future. Environmental concerns regarding carbon emissions have prompted ongoing debates that may further restrict operations in fossil-fuel-dependent regions.

Decentralized Mining Pool Alternatives

Emerging protocols and mining pools are actively working to address centralization concerns. Two primary technological solutions have gained significant traction: Stratum V2 and OCEAN’s DATUM protocol.

Stratum V2 represents a comprehensive upgrade to the original Stratum protocol that has powered mining pools since 2012. According to ECOS’s technical analysis, Stratum V2 offers 30% bandwidth reduction, native encryption, and most importantly, transaction selection decentralization. The protocol allows miners to construct their own block templates, reducing reliance on centralized pools. Hashlabs research demonstrates that Stratum V2 reduces block-switching latency from 325 milliseconds in V1 to just 1.42 milliseconds, saving approximately 4.9 hours of hash power annually and boosting net profits by up to 7.4%.

OCEAN’s DATUM Protocol (Decentralized Alternative Templates for Universal Mining) was developed by co-founder Luke Dashjr starting in 2012, with Jack Dorsey leading a $6.2 million seed funding round in 2023. DATUM enables miners to build their own blocks while sharing pool rewards, with non-custodial payouts going directly to miners from block rewards. According to OCEAN’s documentation, DATUM provides enterprise-level stability and true decentralization while maintaining security standards.

Comparison: Traditional Pools vs. Decentralized Alternatives

Feature Traditional Pools (Stratum V1) Stratum V2 Pools OCEAN/DATUM
Transaction Selection Pool controlled Miner optional Miner controlled
Encryption None (plaintext) End-to-end AEAD Encrypted
Bandwidth Usage High (JSON text) 30% reduced (binary) Efficient
Payout Model Custodial Various Non-custodial direct
Hashrate Hijacking Risk Vulnerable Protected Protected
Current Adoption ~80% of hashrate ~15-20% of hashrate <1% of hashrate

Sources: ECOS, Blockspace Media, Solo Satoshi analysis (2025)

In early 2025, DEMAND (DMND) launched the first Stratum V2-based mining pool, backed by Trammell Venture Partners. Bitcoin Core v30, released in late October 2025, introduced experimental support for Stratum V2, embedding the protocol into the network’s core infrastructure.

Future Impact of Mining Pools on Bitcoin Adoption

The evolution of mining pools will significantly influence Bitcoin’s trajectory as both a technological platform and store of value. Based on our eight years of industry observation and current market trends, several developments will shape the ecosystem’s future.

The balance between private deployment and pool-based models reflects a dual-market structure, with decentralized operators still responsible for approximately 40% of global capacity according to Global Growth Insights. However, technological advancements in efficiency—such as 35% improved watt-to-hash ratios—combined with renewable energy integration in roughly one-third of new mining farms suggest a maturing industry that may naturally trend toward greater distribution.

For Bitcoin’s long-term viability, maintaining a broad distribution of computing power and decentralization remains as crucial to technological security as it is to the cryptocurrency’s ability to function as digital gold. The emergence of protocols like Stratum V2 and DATUM represents organic solutions to centralization problems, ensuring that the power to validate blocks can remain decentralized across the network without requiring protocol-level changes.

Expert Forecast: We project that by 2028, Stratum V2 adoption will exceed 50% of network hashrate, driven by miner preference for greater autonomy and the integration of decentralized protocols into Bitcoin Core. This shift will materially improve Bitcoin’s censorship resistance while maintaining the economic benefits of pooled mining.

Conclusion

Bitcoin mining pools represent both a necessary evolution and a significant challenge for the cryptocurrency’s deployment and long-term viability. Our eight years of industry experience has shown that while pools solved critical problems of mining economics and reward predictability, they have simultaneously created new centralization vectors that threaten Bitcoin’s foundational principles.

The current landscape—where two pools control over 51% of hashrate and six pools mine 95% of blocks—demands attention from investors, developers, and regulators alike. However, the emergence of protocols like Stratum V2 and DATUM, combined with strong economic disincentives against malicious behavior, provides reason for cautious optimism.

As Bitcoin’s hashrate continues reaching new highs and the miner market grows toward nearly $100 billion by 2033, the tension between centralization efficiency and decentralized security will remain the defining challenge for the ecosystem. Those who understand these dynamics—and position themselves accordingly—will be best prepared for the next chapter of Bitcoin’s remarkable journey.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is a Bitcoin mining pool?
A:

A Bitcoin mining pool is a collaborative network where multiple miners combine their computational resources to increase the probability of finding blocks and earning rewards. Participants share rewards proportionally based on their contributed hashpower. Mining pools emerged as solo mining became statistically improbable for individual miners due to increasing network difficulty.

Q: Which mining pool has the largest market share in 2025?
A:

Foundry USA Pool leads the Bitcoin mining sector with approximately 35.92% market share as of 2025, according to Hashrate Index data. This dominance is attributed to its advanced FPPS payout model, robust security infrastructure, and strong presence in the U.S. institutional mining market. AntPool follows with approximately 17.94% market share.

Q: What is a 51% attack and why does it matter?
A:

A 51% attack occurs when a single entity or coordinated group controls more than half of a network’s mining power, enabling them to manipulate transaction validation, execute double-spending attacks, and potentially censor transactions. Currently, two major pools (Foundry and AntPool) collectively control over 51% of Bitcoin’s hashrate, though executing such an attack would cost approximately $1.1 trillion and would likely destroy the attackers’ own investments.

Q: How do mining pool payout models differ?
A:

Common payout models include FPPS (Full Pay Per Share), which pays miners for each valid share regardless of whether blocks are found; PPLNS (Pay Per Last N Shares), which distributes rewards based on recent contributions when blocks are found; and PPS+ (Pay Per Share Plus), which combines base block rewards with transaction fee sharing. FPPS offers more stable returns, while PPLNS may provide higher rewards during periods of elevated transaction fees.

Q: What is Stratum V2 and how does it improve decentralization?
A:

Stratum V2 is a next-generation mining protocol that allows individual miners to construct their own block templates rather than accepting pool-provided templates. This gives miners control over transaction selection, reducing centralization risks and enhancing censorship resistance. The protocol also offers end-to-end encryption, 30% bandwidth reduction, and eliminates hash rate hijacking vulnerabilities present in Stratum V1.

Q: Why has China's Bitcoin mining activity increased despite the ban?
A:

Despite the official 2021 ban, China has returned to approximately 14% of global Bitcoin mining capacity due to surplus electricity in regions like Xinjiang and Sichuan, excess data center capacity seeking operational clients, elevated Bitcoin prices improving mining profitability, and inconsistent enforcement of regulations. Mining rig manufacturer Canaan has seen domestic Chinese revenue share grow from 2.8% in 2022 to over 50% in 2025.

Q: How much revenue do Bitcoin miners generate annually?
A:

Bitcoin miners are projected to generate approximately $17.2 billion in 2025, according to The Block’s analysis, up from $14.7 billion in 2024. However, transaction fees as a share of total revenue have collapsed from approximately 7% in 2024 to roughly 1% in 2025, increasing miners’ reliance on block subsidies and Bitcoin price appreciation.

Q: What are the main risks of mining pool centralization?
A:

Centralization risks include potential 51% attacks enabling transaction manipulation, transaction censorship under regulatory pressure, reduced network resilience to geographic or infrastructure disruptions, and erosion of Bitcoin’s fundamental value proposition as a decentralized, censorship-resistant currency. Currently, six mining pools mine over 95% of all blocks, with the top three frequently controlling over 80% of global hashrate.

Q: How can small miners remain competitive against industrial operations?
A:

Small miners can improve competitiveness by joining pools with transparent fee structures, utilizing renewable or low-cost energy sources, adopting efficient hardware with favorable watt-to-hash ratios, considering decentralized pools like OCEAN that offer non-custodial payouts, and leveraging Stratum V2 to reduce operational inefficiencies. Home mining hashrate remains negligible compared to industrial operations, but contributes to overall network decentralization.

Q: What is the future outlook for Bitcoin mining pools?
A:

The Bitcoin mining pool landscape is expected to evolve toward greater decentralization through Stratum V2 adoption, increased regulatory scrutiny in major mining jurisdictions, continued geographic diversification away from concentrated regions, growing emphasis on sustainable and renewable-powered operations, and the emergence of more transparent governance models. The Bitcoin Miner Market is projected to reach $94.14 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 26.7%.

Reviewed & Edited By

Reviewer Image

Aman Vaths

Founder of Nadcab Labs

Aman Vaths is the Founder & CTO of Nadcab Labs, a global digital engineering company delivering enterprise-grade solutions across AI, Web3, Blockchain, Big Data, Cloud, Cybersecurity, and Modern Application Development. With deep technical leadership and product innovation experience, Aman has positioned Nadcab Labs as one of the most advanced engineering companies driving the next era of intelligent, secure, and scalable software systems. Under his leadership, Nadcab Labs has built 2,000+ global projects across sectors including fintech, banking, healthcare, real estate, logistics, gaming, manufacturing, and next-generation DePIN networks. Aman’s strength lies in architecting high-performance systems, end-to-end platform engineering, and designing enterprise solutions that operate at global scale.

Author : Monika

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